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Feb. 25th, 2004 | 05:31 pm

K.S. Deffeyes author of Hubbert's Peak thinks that Although it is a bit silly, we can now pick a day to celebrate passing the top of the mathematically smooth Hubbert curve: November 24, 2005.

Lets see how well he predicts the future.

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Null pointer

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from: lawnchair
date: Feb. 25th, 2004 06:46 pm (UTC)
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He hasn't seemed too concerned with previous 'downward restatements of reserves', but hearing rumours (New York Times) this week from within Saudi Aramco is very interesting. They've always been panglossy on Saudi reserves.

So, here's a question. Is it so wrong, in my deepest cynical heart, to want the crunch to get it on already? You know, while I'm hale and young, and while certain older generations may see what they have wrought?

BTW -- from previous thread... the assisted bike is a very cool option in the case you have presented, where one has a place to stay and mains to charge batteries overnight. I ride after dark a fair bit, but I don't think I'd make it part of my frequent plans in the city.

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Diane Trout

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from: alienghic
date: Feb. 26th, 2004 12:04 am (UTC)
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What are the rumors?

The sooner the crunch happens the sooner we can start picking up the pieces. Also thanks to uncontrolled population growth the sooner it happens the fewer people who will need to die.

Mostly I'm trying to get an idea of how soon it'll happen to figure out what steps I should be doing to increase my saftey.

Should I be selling everything and moving into a cave in the middle of nowhere now? Or is there still enough time to start spreading eco-village style technologies to try and weather the shift away from oil.

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Null pointer

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from: lawnchair
date: Feb. 26th, 2004 05:47 am (UTC)
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Link to Times article from Tuesday

As for me, had I the resources, I'd have some remote farmable land. But that's just who I am and I'm looking for excuses to do so. Closest I've got is helping some good friends who are building a eco-happy house on more land than they can farm on their own.

My other goal is to keep myself as healthy as possible and non-dependent on possessions that would keep me immobile.

On a broader societal sense, I try to be an example. When I haul groceries home in my BOB bike trailer, people think, "What a dork!", and aren't ashamed to yell it out their car window at me. But, I expect they will more consider a bike trailer when gas is at $5.25 when they've seen one in use.

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